BETTING TIPS Round 16 | Super Saturday


Valentine Holmes is the big name in for the Cowboys, but Jason Taumalolo is the big name out. Given the stats and recent form, this could be an ugly day out for the Cowboys. The Sharks hold the hopes of a few distant finals hopefuls (and fans looking for a general interest in the top eight race), so North Queensland could do everyone a favour here, except for the Sharks and Scomo. Although, Scomo would know about sporting favours.


  • Cronulla have won the last four straight against the Cowboys and eight of the last ten.
  • Coincidentally, Cronulla have also won their last four and eight of the last ten games v Cowboys on a Saturday.
  • Cronulla hold the Head-to-Head on a Saturday by 72% to 28%.
  • At home, Cronulla have only lost twice on a Saturday since 1998. In 2011 and 2004.
  • North Queensland have lost seven of their last eight on a Saturday. And ten of their last 11 on the road.
  • Paul Green has won three more games than his temporary successor.
  • Oh, and the Cowboys have lost eight in a row.

  • With all the above stats, how can you take the Cowboys? And the -10.5 start may be worth a go for the Sharks too. Despite North Queensland being on the improve since Michael Morgan’s return. Cowboys have lost their last six away games (the only other away game was a win) by an average of 18 points, and the lowest losing margin was 11 points. So all more than 10.5 line the Sharks have to beat.
  • North Queensland scored zero points last weekend and average six points in their last four away games. The overall Head-to-Head total points average is 42.

  • Cronulla lead 9 to 5 for scoring the first try, and surprisingly led by prop Braden Hamlin-Uele.
  • One fly in the ointment for first try scorer is the return of Valentine Holmes, and he is on the wing where he has historically done his best try scoring. Why not back him to annoy his former home fans first on Saturday.
  • Neither Cowboys nor Sharks are prolific last try scorers, so the safe play is to choose one of the wingers.


Cronulla -10.5 start
Total Points Under 42.5
Valentine Holmes first Cowboys Try Scorer

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ROUND 16 PREVIEW | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks Vs North Queensland Cowboys

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