Here is the betting and stats preview for the knockout finals clash between Parramatta and South Sydney..
PARRAMATTA EELS Vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Arguably the weaker side of the knockout finals system this weekend sees two teams that came into the finals with inconsistent form. Parramatta have injury concerns, and South Sydney can be very hot and cold, often within the same game. The key battle is in the halves, as ever reliant on the go forward of their forward pack.
QUICK MATCH FACTS
- Souths have won the past three Saturday games Vs Parramatta, but they have all been at the Olympic Stadium. The previous three clashes at Parramatta Stadium on a Saturday were all Eels wins.
- Souths have won just three of the 12 games at Parramatta/Bankwest since 1998. But three of the last five have been wins.
- South Sydney last 10 games on a Saturday follow a pattern (most recent game first) WWLLWWLLWW.
- Souths have won seven of their last eight v Sydney sides. Parramatta have won one of their past four.
- Parramatta have won ten of their past eleven home games on a Saturday.
BETTING FACTS
- The only game of the two this weekend with market movement, likely because of the injury to Mika Sivo, and the scratchy recent form. They have won only four of their last eight games, three against lower half opposition and an injury struck Storm.
- Blake Ferguson is still named, so that price might come in if he is ruled out.
- The Total Points line is currently 45.5, which may appear a tough sell given the average points between these sides is 42 points, and that this mark has only been passed twice in the last ten games.
- Although Souths tried their hardest last time out with a 38 point haul but weren’t helped by the Eels nil.
- The last two games featuring Parramatta have seen over 44 points, but it was 12 games prior when that last happened in a Parramatta contest. Souths have scored a lot more points recently including 60 against the Roosters and 38 against the Eels last weekend.
- Given the current finals trend of plenty of points, the over 45.5 points isn’t a bad bet.
TRY SCORING
- Souths haven’t scored the first try in any of their last three games, while Parramatta have scored first in all their last three matches.
- The Eels scored the also scored the last try in their past three games. Souths have scored the last try just once in their last five games.
- First tries scored against Souths have come exclusively from the positions Fullback (2), Winger (4) and Centre (5) this season in the 11 times they have conceded first. That means either Jennings brother are great options for first try.
- If Souths can get the first try on the weekend, the winger is a great option against the Eels, with that position featuring highly in the games when the Eels don’t score first (4/6). Try scoring machine Alex Johnston would be your man in that case.
- Souths look more likely to score last than first, so Alex Johnston is a great option to be the final try scorer. He’s done it personally four times this season, and wingers have scored the last try 5 of 9 Parramatta games this season.
THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI
Souths to Win
Alex Johnston to score anytime
Cody Walker to score anytime
Total Points – Under 45.5
Parramatta +3.5 start for first half.
@ $35
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Odds correct as of 3:00pm 1st Oct
