BETTING TIPS | NRL Round 14 Friday night

Here is the betting and stats preview for the Round 14 Friday night matches involving the Warriors and Panthers, and the Eels and Dragons.

Reproduced with permission from


The Panthers are flying on top of the competition ladder, but the Warriors are having a real go at finishing in the top eight, which would be a decent effort given the amount of hurdles thrown at them this season. Other more high profile teams struggling have far fewer excuses and should be ashamed compared to the Warriors. This game may be closer than people think.


  • The Warriors record on the Central Coast is now four wins and three losses. Two of those losses have been in the last two matches there. Penrith are unbeaten there having beat South Sydney Rabbitohs 28-12 in 2002.
  • The Warriors have won their last two games versus Sydney opposition.
  • This will be the 8th Friday game for the Warriors this season. Their record on a Friday currently sits at three wins and four losses.
  • Penrith are on an eight game winning streak, but their last loss came on a Friday.
  • Both of these teams won just one of their five games last August.
  • Penrith have won five in a row against teams not from Sydney.

nrl betting round 14 - warriors-penrith h2h

  • Note: the Warriors price has moved to $7.00 overnight.
  • A slight move of excitement in betting saw the Warriors price drop 50 cents. Despite how well the Panthers are playing, and the gap in ladder position, the variance in betting odds seems a bit wide. New Zealand are in decent form.
  • The total points say 43 points, and Penrith can get at least halfway there. They have scored between 22 and 28 in their five games versus non-Sydney sides this year. They have also put 42 and 56 points past teams in the past few rounds.
  • The Warriors have scored 26 points in each of their last three wins and are on a run of two straight wins. Why not take on the Over 42.5 points.
  • New Zealand have had some success in home matches against Penrith, and while the Central Coast is not quite Auckland, perhaps they will be harder to beat away from Penrith. The start might be worth a punt.

  • Penrith have scored first on 12 on 13 occasions this season, so you can bet against them if you like. Although the Warriors 9 on 13 is nothing to sneeze at and is second best this season.
  • Wingers have five of the those 12 first tries, so the maths says you pick one of the Penrith wingers.
  • Last try scorer could be more fun with interchange featuring in both team’s last try scorers, or fan favourite Viliame Kikau.


Total Points +42.5 points
Warriors +17.5 start
Brent Naden to score anytime
Viliame Kikau to score anytime

@ $22

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