Here is the betting and stats preview for the Round 14 opener between the Sydney Roosters and Melbourne Storm.
SYDNEY ROOSTERS v MELBOURNE STORM
If this game is half as good as the previous encounter this season then it has been a Thursday night well spent. Melbourne are missing their two biggest names, but as ever the replacements are handy. If injuries means Nicho Hynes gets some more game time then that’s fine by us.
QUICK MATCH FACTS
- Melbourne have won 13 of their 13 Thursday clashes. The Rooster’s Thursday win percentage is 38%.
- The last eight winning margins in this fixture has been 2,1,2,8,1,15,1, and 3.
- The Roosters have lost one of their last seventeen home matches in August, going back to 2011.
- The Roosters result sequence at home on a Thursday is (most recent result first) LWWLWWLWWL.
- For obscurity, here is the sequence for Melbourne v Sydney teams recently. Oldest game first. 5 Wins, 1 Loss, 4 Wins, 1 Loss, 3 Wins, 1 Loss, 2 Wins……
- The 37.5 total points is generous, although the total points in this fixture is over 40, the last four home games for the Roosters has a much lower average of 23 points. Note: the Total Points has dropped to 36.5 overnight.
- The +5.5 start for the Storm looks inviting, given their respective form, injury lists and closeness of the recent contests.
- Market for this game has seen Melbourne’s price fall initially, but the $2.70 looks like real value.
- Melbourne and Roosters are second for scoring the first try this season at 70%.
- Sounds obvious that wingers are the leading first try scorers but combined the wingers are just under 50% for these teams scoring first. Overall, wingers have scored 29% of the first tries this season.
- No Brett Morris for the Roosters, so Josh Addo-Carr is the leading first try scorer left, and has done so as recently as last weekend.
- Melbourne are ahead on last try scorer this season with nine from 13 games
- Wingers score the last try more than the first this season (37.5%) and the combined Rooster / Storm total is right on that percentage. Easy to pick the wingers, but worth noting Melbourne’s last try scorer has been forward/interchange four times compared to three for the wingers.
- Big fan of Nicho Hynes’s work, and he will soon be a superstar for the Storm, so the tipping this interchange player to end the Storm game on a hy-gh-nes
THE FINAL SAY SAME GAME MULTI
Under 36.5 Total Points
Melbourne +5.5 start
Josh Addo-Carr to score anytime in first half
Nicho Hynes to score anytime in second half
@ $99.50
https://nothingbutleague.com/2020/08/12/round-14-preview-sydney-roosters-vs-melbourne-storm/
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